Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.624038 0.707918 0.797412 0.899839 1.013650 1.136060 1.277503
2025-08-31 0.489439 0.604465 0.736295 0.897861 1.089789 1.309718 1.579982
2025-09-07 0.401316 0.536319 0.701553 0.916963 1.188462 1.517230 1.943163
2025-09-14 0.323471 0.466265 0.652285 0.909191 1.251093 1.686321 2.277403
2025-09-21 0.270794 0.418926 0.623362 0.920936 1.336774 1.890056 2.673105
2025-09-28 0.221995 0.367935 0.580888 0.906754 1.383490 2.044347 3.015706
2025-10-05 0.196798 0.346895 0.576989 0.944820 1.504668 2.308382 3.528109
2025-10-12 0.175508 0.327993 0.572857 0.980546 1.624060 2.577808 4.067647
2025-10-19 0.152310 0.301748 0.553007 0.988329 1.700113 2.787815 4.534275
2025-10-26 0.132191 0.277208 0.532103 0.990839 1.766334 2.985868 4.994762
2025-11-02 0.115186 0.255284 0.512306 0.991974 1.828822 3.180710 5.461338
2025-11-09 0.100601 0.235358 0.493079 0.991124 1.886513 3.370192 5.929782
2025-11-16 0.088512 0.218608 0.477903 0.996482 1.956470 3.586782 6.460506
2025-11-23 0.076566 0.199944 0.456430 0.987481 1.999789 3.761482 6.933509
2025-11-30 0.068778 0.189046 0.448850 1.003870 2.089991 4.021656 7.565718
2025-12-07 0.059623 0.173149 0.428624 0.992719 2.127339 4.191371 8.052631
2025-12-14 0.053450 0.163291 0.419888 1.003663 2.207210 4.441250 8.693353
2025-12-21 0.046174 0.149072 0.399350 0.987282 2.231611 4.591086 9.164164
2025-12-28 0.043399 0.146374 0.404909 1.027585 2.372466 4.964745 10.059344
2026-01-04 0.040707 0.143369 0.409293 1.065579 2.511266 5.342346 10.981208
2026-01-11 0.036678 0.135611 0.400942 1.073657 2.587976 5.605256 11.703179
2026-01-18 0.032846 0.127589 0.390741 1.076171 2.652667 5.848063 12.399239
2026-01-25 0.029398 0.119980 0.380481 1.077274 2.714019 6.087301 13.100056